When it will not be the biggest battle sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is certainly the biggest MMA event of the season. On top of this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card includes two additional name bouts, contenders and entertaining fights throughout.
Brad Taschuk of MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a look at where the betting odds have proceeded for all 12 fights since launching lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he provides his thoughts on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored the first time these two fought and a few naively expected the lineup could be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal problems, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the impact anticipated online. It is hard to attribute bettors either, Cormier is currently 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their first meeting, and Jones won each aspect of the first battle. Expect something like – if not dominant – that time around.
Regardless of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the kind of fighter who rises to the occasion like few others. He, this is the ultimate event. Cormier is his biggest rival and he’s the opportunity to recover the belt that he never dropped against him. That combination will result in a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch of Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line hasn’t seen much movement. Given that the contrasting styles, that is not tough to believe. There is a contingent of individuals who think that Woodley is going to starch Maia with the first punch he yells. They might well be correct. The opposing side of the coin is made up of those who believe that Maia can close the distance, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and just predominate his grappling. They could be right as well. Woodley’s inclination to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia has gotten so good at going into the clinch if not under stress that he ought to have the ability to make Woodley overlook after. Despite a high-level wrestler the likes of Woodley, once Maia gets his hands on you, that’s a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to commence Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting conventional takedowns is second to none (he has perfected the single leg to back take) and Woodley being the type of man who likes to burst from positions will only hurt him once that happens. It is sort of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an extra buck (+275 as of Thursday morning), since Woodley won’t be able to survive 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wishes to. The other choice is probably a quick Woodley KO (+350 for your champ in Round 1, by the way).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This fight being bettable is dependent on which type of bettor you are. In case you have no difficulty throwing a massive lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that is not really your style, neither will be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a play is based on Evinger’s strength. She’s taken damage in several of her struggles and persevered and she probably won’t come back to conquer Cyborg in this one after a rough start, there is an external shot she can endure five minutes. But even the prices for”Fight Begins Round two” and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped substantially (down to +150 and +450, respectively), which makes them less appealing even to somebody who is constantly on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It’s a shame this fight is taking place after both guys have apparently passed their peak concerning durability, because a war with Lawler and Cerrone in their best would be a thing to behold. This fight will come down to distance management and in-fight decisions. Lawler would like to be indoors, Cerrone would like to be outside. The problem for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will gradually see him get indoors and at the point, anticipate Cerrone to be far too ready to oblige him the warfare he’s searching for. While this will give us the kind of struggle we would like to see, do not expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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